DAWNBREAK NIGHTEDGE
POST-EXPANSION EXPECTATIONS

Unexpectedly, the new expansion saw Sword jump to the top of the rankings with a wide array of strong and versatile cards. However, the first weeks promise diverse counterbalances in the form of Amulet Haven, Tempo Forest, and the lower-tier decks of Artifact Portal and Chimera Rune, even as Sword dominates our voting rankings.


See the pre-expansion analysis here.
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View all scores here.

Data aggregated from polls hosted on this website (voting closed), posted on the Discord server before the expansion.
Scores are averaged on a 0-100 range, except for the "Most Divisive" category, which is scored by standard deviation.

TOP 10

96
94
93
93
89
88
87
87
87
80
Sword and Haven received the majority of the best cards this expansion, with Sword taking home 4 and Haven 2. The rest of the top cards went to diverse archetypes, serving various scaffolding purposes.

TOP 10 TOKENS

95
93
91
87
86
86
85
85
84
84
With the hype over Orchis and Vania dying down, the more significant tokens have taken spots in the top 10. Here, we see the true power of the powerful Choose One cards Ceryneian Hind, Mirianm, and Celia.

THE UNDERAPPRECIATED

64 > 93
+29
66 > 93
+27
62 > 86
+24
69 > 93
+24
70 > 87
+17
74 > 91
+17
71 > 87
+16
66 > 82
+16
58 > 73
+15
69 > 83
+14
The cards on this list mostly go to various Choose 1 cards that were significantly more effective than anticipated. However, we also have Sky Fortress as the most underappreciated card, as predicted on stream before the expansion.

MOST DIVISIVE

34
30
28
28
27
26
26
26
26
26
(Scored by standard deviation, not mean)
Following in the steps of recent expansions, Cygames has pushed more archetype-based legendaries, which now dominate the Most Divisive list. However, unlike previous expansions, many of these cards have proven to actually be quite strong, inlcuding Alexiel and Shadow's new PTP card.

THE OVERESTIMATED

44 > 23
-21
75 > 55
-20
50 > 33
-17
40 > 23
-17
50 > 34
-16
42 > 27
-15
68 > 52
-16
73 > 58
-15
61 > 46
-15
51 > 37
-14
Other than White Vanara, there were no significant missed predictions here. Most of these cards were already rated mediocrely in the first place.

WORST 10

12
14
17
18
18
18
19
19
19
22
Marduk follows Corpselord of Woe and Mail of Obliteration as the newest legendary card on the Worst 10 list. Noticeably, there are no Gold cards on this list.

CHOOSE ONE

96
94
93
89
88
87
87
80
80
80
79
78
75
70
69
69
68
63
63
57
56
48
42
24
Cygames went all-in on the Choose One keyword this expansion, with 24 cards featuring the mechanic. These cards are much stronger on average than the average card, and will likely define the meta for months to come.

CLASS SCORES

49/67
69
55
57/94
93
88
55/73
57
80
52/77
63
52
43/65
44
78
61/77
65
80
58/86
47
93
54/80
80
33
(First score: All cards average. Second score: Top 3 cards average.)
Ironically, despite receiving almost no powerful new cards, Forest has taken a spot as one of the best classes in the meta. On the other hand, Sword and Haven have taken the top two positions, as predicted by their incredibly high scores.

RARITY

Bronze41
Silver56
Gold67
Legendary72
This expansion featured an average score of 52.6 (down from 54.7), and the Legendary-Bronze gap increased from 25 to 31 points. In addition, Amulet Haven and Midrange Sword now profess a large reliance on Legendary cards, pointing towards a more vial-heavy meta.